Economic evaluation of using daily prednisolone versus placebo at the time of an upper respiratory tract infection for the management of children with steroid-sensitive nephrotic syndrome: a model-based analysis

PREDNOS Collaborative Group, NIHR Medicines for Children Research Network Nephrology Clinical Studies Group, Nafsika Afentou, Emma Frew, Samir Mehta, Natalie Rowland, Rebecca Woolley, Elizabeth Brettell, Adam Khan, David Milford, Detlef Bockenhauer, Moin A Saleem , Angela S Hall, Ania Koziell, Heather Maxwell, Shivaram Hegde , Eric R Finlay, Rodney D Gilbert, Caroline Jones, Karl McKeeverWendy Cook, Nicholas JA Webb, Martin T Christian

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Abstract

Background
Childhood steroid-sensitive nephrotic syndrome is a frequently relapsing disease with significant short- and long-term complications, leading to high healthcare costs and reduced quality of life for patients. The majority of relapses are triggered by upper respiratory tract infections (URTIs) and evidence shows that daily low-dose prednisolone at the time of infection may reduce the risk of relapse.

Objective
The aim of this study was to assess the cost effectiveness of a 6-day course of low-dose prednisolone at the start of a URTI when compared with placebo.

Methods
A state-transition Markov model was developed to conduct a cost-utility analysis with the outcome measured in quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs). Resource use and outcome data were derived from the PREDNOS2 trial. The analysis was performed from a UK National Health Service perspective and the results were extrapolated to adulthood. Model parameter and structural uncertainty were assessed using sensitivity analyses.

Results
The base-case results showed that administering low-dose prednisolone at the time of a URTI generated more QALYs and a lower mean cost at 1 year compared with placebo. In the long-term, low-dose prednisolone was associated with a cost saving (£176) and increased effectiveness (0.01 QALYs) compared with placebo and thus remained the dominant treatment option. These findings were robust to all sensitivity analyses.

Conclusion
A 6-day course of low-dose prednisolone at the time of a URTI in children with steroid-sensitive nephrotic syndrome has the potential to reduce healthcare costs and improve quality of life compared with placebo.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)605-617
Number of pages13
JournalPharmacoEconomics
Volume6
Issue number4
Early online date22 Jun 2022
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Jul 2022

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© 2022. The Author(s).

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